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nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm going to slide this little barrier. the darker the colors, the higher the latino population. nevada, colorado, new mexico, florida, you can find other places as well up into the midwest. the republicans don't solve this problem. this is a crisis for the republican party. >> it certainly is. we're going to talk more about texas in a bit because i see that orange there. what about women? i know this war on women fight, a lot of people wondered whether it would be effective, but when it actually happened -- >> in a word, yes. >> romney did not make up that gap again. >> play the exit polls. natio
nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm...
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florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, iowa, new hampshire and nevada. joining me here in ohio is john avlon. he has been traveling the state aboard the cnn election express bus. i'm also joined by john king in washington, d.c. the electoral college map, how does it add up right now? >> when you talk to the two campaigns, it's as if even though it's one country, they live in parallel universes. both saying they will win tomorrow. the president is ahead in most of the key battleground states. they are down confidence in the obama campaign and don't get too much dispute out of the romney campaign that they will win the state of nevada. then they come to the midwest where you are. they are most confident in the midwest they will carry again. i know republicans watching are saying they'll prove you wrong. they're confident about the state of iowa. that would get the president to 259. takes 270 win. when you ask them about these battleground states, they say they're most confidence about ohio, where you are. the president took that game over. no republicans w
florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, iowa, new hampshire and nevada. joining me here in ohio is john avlon. he has been traveling the state aboard the cnn election express bus. i'm also joined by john king in washington, d.c. the electoral college map, how does it add up right now? >> when you talk to the two campaigns, it's as if even though it's one country, they live in parallel universes. both saying they will win tomorrow. the president is ahead in most of the key battleground...
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people say nevada, the president won nevada by 12% four years ago. this time his early voting is smaller. there is a need to win by 12%. he only needs to win by one vote. >> when you talk about you're going through the swing states, really it's the state of ohio. is that true all roads go through ohio for the romney campaign? >> yeah. it's really critical there. you look at the different scenarios you need again for mitt romney to take ohio, there are scenarios that we'll show you. he can win without ohio. but that takes everything else. that means he has to get florida. he has to get everything else basically that is leaning or tossup to make that happen. >> what i thought was interesting, we were talking about this earlier, i read an article where ana is credited on it. it's a latino vote in ohio that you never talk about. this election is so close that we are talking about latinos in ohio. and how they could potentially impact this vote. >> i say is that if we really want to get immigration done, some of us have to take it for the cause, put on co
people say nevada, the president won nevada by 12% four years ago. this time his early voting is smaller. there is a need to win by 12%. he only needs to win by one vote. >> when you talk about you're going through the swing states, really it's the state of ohio. is that true all roads go through ohio for the romney campaign? >> yeah. it's really critical there. you look at the different scenarios you need again for mitt romney to take ohio, there are scenarios that we'll show you....
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i will give you nevada as your best of the battleground states. what's your worst? what are you most worried about? >> well, you know, john, somebody was quoted yesterday as saying that's like choosing between our children. >> so choose. >> we are tied or -- i'm not going to do that. we're tied or ahead in every single battleground state. certainly some of them are tighter than others. north carolina is extremely tight. but we're pleased with where we are going into election day. we have advantage on the early vote. we've done significant work with voter registration in that state. we're close in florida. again, significant advantage on early vote. and done a lot of work on voter registration. >> can i run that through the universal political translator and say you're most worried about north carolina and florida? >> those are your words. >> let me bring in david gergen. he's also got a question. >> stephanie, good to see you. tell us what three things we should be looking for tomorrow night as a sense of which way it's going. what are you going to be looking for? >
i will give you nevada as your best of the battleground states. what's your worst? what are you most worried about? >> well, you know, john, somebody was quoted yesterday as saying that's like choosing between our children. >> so choose. >> we are tied or -- i'm not going to do that. we're tied or ahead in every single battleground state. certainly some of them are tighter than others. north carolina is extremely tight. but we're pleased with where we are going into election...
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on the heels of stops in nevada, colorado, and iowa. romney's day won't end until midnight after an election eve rally in manchester, new hampshire. >> woodruff: late monday in a surprise move romney announced he will hit therail one final time tomorrow touching down on election day in both pennsylvania and ohio. margaret talked with romney's communications director, gail gitcho, about the campaign's micro-targeting "get out the vote" effort, called the orca project, named for the killer whale. find that video online. >> ifill: coming up, we'll have much more on the end to the campaign, including the final push in ohio; state of the race analysis from rothenberg, page, and kohut; voter access to polling places, and initiatives on the ballot; plus, the slow recovery after the storm, and a day in the life of a hard-hit brooklyn ighborhood. but first, with the other news of the day, here's hari sreenivasan. >> woodruff: the violence in syria swept up a new group today. fighting raged near a palestinian refugee camp in southern damascus. ac
on the heels of stops in nevada, colorado, and iowa. romney's day won't end until midnight after an election eve rally in manchester, new hampshire. >> woodruff: late monday in a surprise move romney announced he will hit therail one final time tomorrow touching down on election day in both pennsylvania and ohio. margaret talked with romney's communications director, gail gitcho, about the campaign's micro-targeting "get out the vote" effort, called the orca project, named for...
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if president obama wins nevada, iowa and pennsylvania, nevada, iowa, and pennsylvania, and let's say mitt romney wins colorado, new hampshire, and florida. new hampshire, colorado, that leaves three toss-ups. wisconsin, ohio, and the old dominion. so if the candidates split, ohio and wisconsin, neither one of them gets to the 270 electoral votes needed to win without virginia. and the final nbc news wall street journal poll before this election, it shows virginia in a statistic call tie. back to you. >> the following two breaking stories tonight. a commuter train hit and killed a person. no word on what led to the identity of the victim. shuttles have been taking some passengers to their death nations. delays are not expected to have an impact on the commute in the morning. >>> a 75-year-old man was critically injured in an apartment fire. and firefighters found him in the basement of the apartments on generals highway in crownsville. the cause of this fire is still under investigation. >> tonight, a father is facing charges after his 4-year-old child fell on the high-rise apartment
if president obama wins nevada, iowa and pennsylvania, nevada, iowa, and pennsylvania, and let's say mitt romney wins colorado, new hampshire, and florida. new hampshire, colorado, that leaves three toss-ups. wisconsin, ohio, and the old dominion. so if the candidates split, ohio and wisconsin, neither one of them gets to the 270 electoral votes needed to win without virginia. and the final nbc news wall street journal poll before this election, it shows virginia in a statistic call tie. back...
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i know it takes iowa and nevada. here it is. there it is. >> iowa, nevada have to get in there and we've got five more somewhere else. it's the swap of colorado. is it that? well. >> where do you have new hampshire? i can't see from here? >> we'll have to figure it out. it was off. this is what happens when we're missing it. the math is there. >> we'll take a break, we know it's there, the math is there. 269/269s. >> that's a nightmare. >> some say we'll be spending a lot of good times. >> here it is. that's what we're missing here. new hampshire over to there. >> new hampshire. >> and then we have it. >> thank you so much, chuck. >> bye now. >> chuck and the magic map. up next, mayor antonio villaraigosa in florida today, and house majority leader eric cantor from virginia, live from democracy plaza only here on msnbc. [ female announcer ] the humana walmart-preferred rx plan p-d-p gives you a low national plan premium... so you can focus on what really matters. call humana at 1-800-808-4003. colin powell: yes. when he took ove
i know it takes iowa and nevada. here it is. there it is. >> iowa, nevada have to get in there and we've got five more somewhere else. it's the swap of colorado. is it that? well. >> where do you have new hampshire? i can't see from here? >> we'll have to figure it out. it was off. this is what happens when we're missing it. the math is there. >> we'll take a break, we know it's there, the math is there. 269/269s. >> that's a nightmare. >> some say we'll be...
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nevada really important. look at florida. all those places were good to the president last time around in 2008. it will be interesting to see how that pans out. i want to show you another thing here. i want to take a look at unemployment. this is really kind of a cool thing to look at, too. when you look at this, this is the unemployment change since february 2009. the more orange you see here, that's much worse. the unemployment rate has gotten worse in some of these places including nevada. we talked about foreclosures there. 11.8%, highest in the country. green is where it's been getting better. iowa, for example, 5.2% in iowa. ohio is 7% in ohio. much better than the 8.7% it was when the president took office. so we'll see how this plays out as well. but these are the two things, soledad, that matter most to people. their home and their paycheck. whether you're getting a job and you can pay for the mortgage, whether you're behind on the loan. those are two things over the past four years that have been a real problem in p
nevada really important. look at florida. all those places were good to the president last time around in 2008. it will be interesting to see how that pans out. i want to show you another thing here. i want to take a look at unemployment. this is really kind of a cool thing to look at, too. when you look at this, this is the unemployment change since february 2009. the more orange you see here, that's much worse. the unemployment rate has gotten worse in some of these places including nevada....
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in would argue that mash -- michigan and nevada should be leaning obama before last week. we have a very close election. and it is going to be decided on election night with -- with a bunch of potential surprises. >> chris: you have a white board. >> think about this. on the third of november, 2008, president obamma was at or above 50% in 7 of the 13 states that year. in those same state this is year, on same date, 4 years later, he is 50%, not above, but 50% in just two, wisconsin and nev dismef and wisconsin, he is only at 50% because there is 1 pole, an outliwer an 8-point lead. we have gone from cruise into victory in 2008, to a tight, tight, tight race in 2012. >> chris: lanlast question. what do you make of romney going to pennsylvania today? what do you make of obama with last-minute ad buys in florida and virginia? who's got in wind at the back? who is serious? hois bluffing? >> they are all serious and they are not bluffing. president obama has difficulty in florida and virginia two, states where the real clear politics average goes to romney. and pennsylvania has
in would argue that mash -- michigan and nevada should be leaning obama before last week. we have a very close election. and it is going to be decided on election night with -- with a bunch of potential surprises. >> chris: you have a white board. >> think about this. on the third of november, 2008, president obamma was at or above 50% in 7 of the 13 states that year. in those same state this is year, on same date, 4 years later, he is 50%, not above, but 50% in just two, wisconsin...
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of the stratosphere here in nevada. in a city that fell harder and faster than any place that fell in the country. this better be a very close election. the stratosphere like all of vegas suffered the worst of the recession. >> at some point you had to make a decision to stay home or go big or shutdown? >> yes. >> reporter: they sunk $20 million into upgrades including a new restaurant and the sky-jump thing, and most importantly, more than 100 new jobs. do you think that las vegas is through the worst of it? >> it feels like it. i drive to work everyday and i see stuff going on that i haven't seen in a little while. >> reporter: things like construction and homes being built in places in a place that had the nation's highest foreclosure rate. and they say that the decline and rise in vegas is an entree index. before the recession how many were you doing and now? >> before we were doing 400 and now between 400 and 700. big difference. >> reporter: and comedy icon and clark county icon who does four shows a night in vega
of the stratosphere here in nevada. in a city that fell harder and faster than any place that fell in the country. this better be a very close election. the stratosphere like all of vegas suffered the worst of the recession. >> at some point you had to make a decision to stay home or go big or shutdown? >> yes. >> reporter: they sunk $20 million into upgrades including a new restaurant and the sky-jump thing, and most importantly, more than 100 new jobs. do you think that las...
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we're going live to nevada. las vegas strip to be exact. talking with business leaders. that is all next. first look at some of today's winners with and lose others as we head out to break. the dow is only down seven points. e-trade financial is up over 4%. tesoro, a charles payne favorite, also up 4%. we'll be right back. >> at least we have a decent view. no rain. hi, we're all waving to you out there. it's 30 past the hour, nicole's on the floor of the new york stock exchange. nicole, the dow is positive, trying so hard. >> what do you think of the markets ahead of the election? >> dead, dead. that's what they are. i mean, you know, the day is finally upon us. we've been looking at this election for the last two years. the markets have whipped around and vacillated back and forth based on who is in the lead, who is not in the lead. it's here. we are just waiting and seeing. most of the clients and people i talk to are on pips and needles. we may wake up wednesday morning and still not know who the is next president. >> that may very well happen. what percentage of thi
we're going live to nevada. las vegas strip to be exact. talking with business leaders. that is all next. first look at some of today's winners with and lose others as we head out to break. the dow is only down seven points. e-trade financial is up over 4%. tesoro, a charles payne favorite, also up 4%. we'll be right back. >> at least we have a decent view. no rain. hi, we're all waving to you out there. it's 30 past the hour, nicole's on the floor of the new york stock exchange. nicole,...
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they say those new voters plus apparent early voting leads in ohio, florida, iowa and nevada will put them over the top. mr. obama told a crowd of 23,000 in hollywood, florida, it's all up to them now. >> you know what i believe, you know where i stand. and you know that no matter what happens, i'll fight for you and your family every single day as hard as i know how. >> reporter: president obama will spend the last day of his last campaign in three midwest states, iowa, ohio and wisconsin. he said today that at this stage in the race he is merely a prop. and that the real stars of this drama are his get out the vote teams and the voters themselves, jeff. >> jeff: nancy, thank you. jan crawford now is with governor romney in pennsylvania. >> two more days! two more days and we can get to work rebuilding our country! >> two more days! >> reporter: in the crucial state of ohio, romney talked today in sweeping language about a brighter future. >> two more days we start rebuilding our country and restoring our confidence and renewing our conviction. confidence that we're in a solid path t
they say those new voters plus apparent early voting leads in ohio, florida, iowa and nevada will put them over the top. mr. obama told a crowd of 23,000 in hollywood, florida, it's all up to them now. >> you know what i believe, you know where i stand. and you know that no matter what happens, i'll fight for you and your family every single day as hard as i know how. >> reporter: president obama will spend the last day of his last campaign in three midwest states, iowa, ohio and...
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especially in nevada. nevada's six electoral votes are looking more important than ever and the race there, of course, all the races around the country, tight, very tight. this american research group poll has obama edging romney 49% to 487%. people in nevada say they are starting to see signs of recovery, believe it or not. cnn's miguel marquez picks up the story from high above, high above the las vegas skyline. >> reporter: here we are, top of the stratosphere in vegas, baby. as this county goes, so goes nevada! in a city that fell harder and faster than just about any place in the country. this better be a very close election. the stratosphere, like all vegas, suffered the worst of the recession. at some point you had to make a decision, either go big or stay home and shut down. >> that was sort of the thesis, yeah. >> reporter: the vegas landmark sunk more than $20 million into upgrades including a new restaurant, oh, and that sky jump thing. most importantly, more than 100 new jobs. do you think las
especially in nevada. nevada's six electoral votes are looking more important than ever and the race there, of course, all the races around the country, tight, very tight. this american research group poll has obama edging romney 49% to 487%. people in nevada say they are starting to see signs of recovery, believe it or not. cnn's miguel marquez picks up the story from high above, high above the las vegas skyline. >> reporter: here we are, top of the stratosphere in vegas, baby. as this...
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but first first the battle for nevada. polls show president obama has anage there. while the romney camp still says the state is in play. dan springer live in las vegas tonight. dan? >> that's right, shep. but even a conservative columnist here says nevada is leaning obama and governor romney is down to his final strike early voting heavily favored the president. 48,000 more democrats voted over the two week period than republicans. that is a big hill to climb on tuesday. especially when you consider it's estimated 70% of all the voters have been cast. republicans know they need a big turn out in the rural parts of the state and a decisive win among independence. not impossible but about as likely, perhaps, as pulling an inside straight that is the latest from nevada. we'll have more coming up from other battleground states on "the fox report." , suspension and agility. the only trail capable side-by sides, featuring the ultimate value, r 570. the only 4-passenge sport machines, led by the all-new rzr xp 4 and the undisputed king of high performance, rzr xp. razor s
but first first the battle for nevada. polls show president obama has anage there. while the romney camp still says the state is in play. dan springer live in las vegas tonight. dan? >> that's right, shep. but even a conservative columnist here says nevada is leaning obama and governor romney is down to his final strike early voting heavily favored the president. 48,000 more democrats voted over the two week period than republicans. that is a big hill to climb on tuesday. especially when...
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here is nevada with its six electoral votes. he took nevada. he took colorado. paul ryan spent a lot of time in colorado really hoping that the republicans have been hoping to get that and they didn't. there's iowa. wisconsin. ohio with its 18. new hampshire. then florida. we are still waiting for. that's how the president got to 303. he needed 270. even though we have not called florida yet, mitt romney can't get over the top. >> right now the president is leading in the vote count in florida by miami-dade county as they suspended counting overnight. they will start counting in a few hours ago. the president is ahead there and could pick that up, too. >> these two states he lost. those are reliably republican territory until last time when the president turned them. he lost them this time but had all the swing states, 303 electoral votes. >> the president won north carolina by 14,000 votes four years ago. this time it was still pretty close. it was interest that a lot of people thought north carolina would be a blowout for mitt romney. it was not. they didn't c
here is nevada with its six electoral votes. he took nevada. he took colorado. paul ryan spent a lot of time in colorado really hoping that the republicans have been hoping to get that and they didn't. there's iowa. wisconsin. ohio with its 18. new hampshire. then florida. we are still waiting for. that's how the president got to 303. he needed 270. even though we have not called florida yet, mitt romney can't get over the top. >> right now the president is leading in the vote count in...
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iowa and nevada have been put away. i don't think new hampshire and wisconsin have. but i think that's reflect in that poll. the second that's occurred is every single poll i've seen shows more optimism about the economy than there was a month ago. not people aren't off the charts mind you, but a third of the people think the economy is in good shape. another 20% think it's getting in better shape and those are better numbers than the summer. >> rose: let me ask about florida, john harris, and pennsylvania. >> it looks like florida is most likely in romney's camp. not certain. it seems to me that if obama wins florida he's going to win a bunch of other states and we'll have a map that looks more like 2008 than we've been thinking this last month or so where hi would win most of the state he is won in 2008 minus north carolina and indiana. that's an early night for us all. althoughs pennsylvania better than i do. i don't think it's been awe thenltally in play. i think there was a series of head fakes going on but that's never been a central battleground. >> rose: mark
iowa and nevada have been put away. i don't think new hampshire and wisconsin have. but i think that's reflect in that poll. the second that's occurred is every single poll i've seen shows more optimism about the economy than there was a month ago. not people aren't off the charts mind you, but a third of the people think the economy is in good shape. another 20% think it's getting in better shape and those are better numbers than the summer. >> rose: let me ask about florida, john...
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and the last of the battleground poll closings, iowa and nevada will begin at 10:00 eastern time. john king is at our election center. break down the math. what are you watching tonight? >> well, erin, you're sitting in ground zero of the presidential election. here is where we begin election day in america. the president at 237 electoral votes, strong and leading. that's the blue on the map. light blue leaning, dark blue strong. governor romney, 206, dark red strong, light red leaning his way. pretty safe in these assessments. we'll watch pennsylvania, michigan. assuming this is the line jump going in, let me give you a scenario, the obama campaign is confident about nevada among the tossups. they're confident about wisconsin. republicans watching are saying we'll prove you wrong. but let's go through the hypothetical. iowa as well, the republicif th won those three of the battlegrounds, that gets him to 259. in the romney campaign, they think they're going to win florida. the democrats say, no, we'll prove you wrong here, let's in this hypothetical give governor romney florida.
and the last of the battleground poll closings, iowa and nevada will begin at 10:00 eastern time. john king is at our election center. break down the math. what are you watching tonight? >> well, erin, you're sitting in ground zero of the presidential election. here is where we begin election day in america. the president at 237 electoral votes, strong and leading. that's the blue on the map. light blue leaning, dark blue strong. governor romney, 206, dark red strong, light red leaning...
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he could also get nevada or iowa. that's six states he would have to win if he loses ohio. >> how many of those six states is he behind today according to the polls? >> well of course he's -- he's tied in virginia behind in wisconsin, tied in new hampshire. he's ahead in north carolina. nevada and iowa which would be crucial to that last piece, tied in colorado as well. >> which is why the governor is going to ohio today, going to northern ohio cleveland and then going to western pennsylvania which is covered in southern ohio. so the pennsylvania visit is not so much about pennsylvania. it's a little bit about getting both media markets at the top and bottom of ohio. >> how common is it guys to campaign on election day and how effective is it. >> al gore in 2000. he went all around this country campaigning until the last minute. george bush took that day off and the day before largely off. >> it's more a sign i'm coming more important than i'm here. you want to say, here look at me. i'm pulling out every stop to make
he could also get nevada or iowa. that's six states he would have to win if he loses ohio. >> how many of those six states is he behind today according to the polls? >> well of course he's -- he's tied in virginia behind in wisconsin, tied in new hampshire. he's ahead in north carolina. nevada and iowa which would be crucial to that last piece, tied in colorado as well. >> which is why the governor is going to ohio today, going to northern ohio cleveland and then going to...
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. >> and i have nevada in there. you live on the border of nevada and california. demographically gone for the republicans right now? >> this is a state that republicans should have won if we had the same hispanic turnout of the vote percentage under president bush, under john mccain. mitt romney would be ahead in nevada. it's not the case. president obama is going to win nevada. >> anybody here think the president will lose iowa? >> i think he's going to win iowa. and i changed my opinion on that. i thought he was going to lose iowa. >> you believe iowa. where do you fall? >> the president. >> look what this does here. this puts -- we put it up to 259 so th so then he's is 11 away. anybody thinks he's going to win florida? so you give romney this, florida. colorado, i think it will be the closest state in the country. >> i agree. >> where does it go? >> romney. >> romney wins. >> really close but romney. >> it might all come down to ohio. >> it may. and virginia we have sitting he here. so this could mean to me as a realistic scenario and i won't make you force th
. >> and i have nevada in there. you live on the border of nevada and california. demographically gone for the republicans right now? >> this is a state that republicans should have won if we had the same hispanic turnout of the vote percentage under president bush, under john mccain. mitt romney would be ahead in nevada. it's not the case. president obama is going to win nevada. >> anybody here think the president will lose iowa? >> i think he's going to win iowa. and i...